Here, I use political science research to answer three questions: First, how does the armed conflict compare to recent trends in civil wars? Second, what are the prospects for conflict resolution? Third, what are the risks for further diffusion within and across Ethiopia’s boundaries? What type of conflict is happening in Tigray? Next to the immediate casualties from fighting, the inability of Tigray farmers to plant their crops has already put hundreds of thousands at the risk of dying from hunger. The civil war will be one of the deadliest armed conflicts of 2021.
While news from Tigray is rare and unreliable, it is safe to say that the fighting has been causing immense human suffering. The civil war between the government of Ethiopia and the Tigray Political Liberation Front has been raging for eight months.
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